Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 97.7%
Forecasters
25
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJun 9, 25, 9:48 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Thinking Machines acquired by Apple before 2031?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic acquired before 2027?
PolymarketAnthropic acquired before 2027?
LimitlessAnthropic acquired by another company before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic be acquired before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will be acquired before 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2030, Apple Inc. (AAPL) publicly announces the acquisition of Anthropic PBC.
Open markets
Corporate Actions
KALSHIWill Nashville airport be renamed for Dolly Parton?
- No78%
- Yes-51.0pt22%
- Total Vol
- $186.5K
- 24h Vol
- $113.8K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- December 31,-1.0pt89%
- November 30,+2.5pt88%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.9M
- 24h Vol
- $59.3K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+6.0pt22.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt20.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-2.0pt18.5%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- No IPO by December 31, 2026+4.5pt97%
- 1.5T+-1.0pt2%
- 1.25T–1.5T-0.3pt1%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+1.0pt69%
- Before May 1, 2027+4.0pt53%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202795%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-9.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-6.0pt86%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.8M
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI IPO by which date?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
- Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Anthropic acquired by Apple before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Anthropic acquired by Apple before 2030? resolve?
- Anthropic acquired by Apple before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Anthropic acquired by Apple before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria