Will an open-source LLM under 10B parameters surpass Claude 3.5 Haiku by EOY 2025?

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Mar 1, 2027+10.0pt91.5%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+4.0pt90.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+9.0pt87.5%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.3M

24h Vol

$414.5K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+4.4pt87.8%
• Anthropic-4.5pt11.2%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic-1.0pt48%
• Google+2.0pt44.9%
• OpenAI-1.1pt5.1%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-7.3pt90%
• October 31-23.1pt52%
• October 29-23.5pt51%

+17 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-0.5pt26%
• $2.0–$2.25T-0.8pt20.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.5pt15.4%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+6.5pt87%
• December 15,+7.0pt83%
• November 30,+7.0pt73%

+7 more outcomes