Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030?
CommoditiesOne-OffAITechScience3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.6%
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11
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJun 9, 26, 9:33 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
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ForecastExRules
Copy of this question, but for 2030 instead of 2040:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/MatthewBarnett/will-a-robot-be-created-that-can-fu)The field of robotics has seen significant advancements over the past few decades, with robots being developed for a wide range of applications, from manufacturing and logistics to healthcare and entertainment.
- However, creating a robot capable of fully substituting for and replacing a plumber, including all of their job duties and responsibilities, remains a complex challenge.
- Such a robot would need to be highly versatile, able to navigate complex environments, interact with a wide variety of tools and materials, diagnose and repair various plumbing issues, and adapt to unforeseen situations.
- Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for and replace a plumber, including all of their job duties and responsibilities, before January 1st, 2030?
- Resolution criteria:
Open markets
CommoditiesKALSHIUS gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.175099%
- Above 4.160099%
- Above 4.170099%
+26 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $460.1K
- 24h Vol
- $459.9K
KALSHIFlorida gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.910099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.900099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $230.5K
- 24h Vol
- $230.4K
POLYMARKETWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in September 2026?
- ↑ $90+35.5pt100%
- ↑ $85+5.7pt100%
- ↓ $90100%
+22 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Oct 1, 2027-14.0pt40%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-15.0pt38%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-15.0pt32%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIOhio gas prices tomorrow
- Above 3.900099%
- Above 3.895099%
- Above 3.890099%
+44 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $91.2K
- 24h Vol
- $91.2K
KALSHIUS gas prices this week
- Above 4.1400+25.0pt99%
- Above 4.1200+10.0pt99%
- Above 4.0800+5.0pt99%
+18 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Illinois gas prices tomorrow
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 9, 2026?
- Diesel prices tomorrow
- Brent crude oil price on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?
- Texas gas prices tomorrow
- Crude Oil all time high by which date?
- Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 8, 2026
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 94% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030? resolve?
- Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will a robot be created that can fully substitute for a plumber before January 1st, 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Copy of this question, but for 2030 instead of 2040: