Will a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 70.8% as of October 29, 2026.

When does Will a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living? resolve?

Will a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2035.

How is Will a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Inspired by https://xkcd.com/893/.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.6pt98%
• Anthropic-1.4pt1%
• OpenAI1%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

$4.1M

24h Vol

$239.4K

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

• Google+1.0pt70.4%
• Anthropic-1.0pt26.5%
• OpenAI-2.1pt2%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

• Above 998.5%
• Above 799.5%
• Above 699.5%

POLYMARKET

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?

• December 31,-4.0pt67%
• June 30,-8.0pt47%
• February 28,+4.5pt38%

+4 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+3.5pt51.5%
• Anthropic-1.9pt48.5%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?

• Before 2028-1.0pt71.5%
• Before May 1, 2027+7.0pt64%
• Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt

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