Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030?
Health & MedicineOne-Off3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 66%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleJan 25, 24, 10:12 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
The World Health Organization (WHO) certifies countries as malaria-free if have three consecutive years with zero indigenous cases.
- In early 2024, the WHO certified Cape Verde as malaria free, the first sub-Saharan African country to obtain this status in over 50 years (BBC).
- Will another country in sub-Saharan Africa be certified by the WHO as being malaria free before 2030?
- Sub-Saharan Africa is defined as Africa excluding North Africa, but including Sudan (i.e. every country in any shade of green on Wikipedia's page for sub-Saharan Africa).
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 66% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030? resolve?
- Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will a country in sub-Saharan Africa be declared malaria-free by the WHO before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The World Health Organization (WHO) certifies countries as malaria-free if have three consecutive years with zero indigenous cases.