Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
One-OffBusiness & CorporateEquitiesMacro & Economy3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 68.7%
Forecasters
48
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleJan 23, 24, 3:54 AM UTCJan 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves yes if there's a company formed after Jan 1 2020 that is worth more than 1 trillion US dollars before 2030.
- Can be anytime, doesn't have to be worth 1 trillion on jan 1 2030.
- Has to be either publicly traded or a company that has raised >10 billion in funding (to get a semi accurate value).
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 69% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030? resolve?
- Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2030.
- How is Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if there's a company formed after Jan 1 2020 that is worth more than 1 trillion US dollars before 2030.
