Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Yes 58%
Yes 58%Forecasters
79
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleJan 17, 24, 5:47 PM UTCMar 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 50K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves as YES if at least one million humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2030.
- Different number of robots:
- @/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-0686840a9b86
- @/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-cada66fe0215
- @/RemNi/will-10k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-c55c48255552
- @/RemNi/will-20k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-027d2adb7b87
