Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 4:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Will 50K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Will 2M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Will we get AGI before 2028?
Will we get AGI before 2036?
Rules
Resolves as YES if at least 500 thousand humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2030.
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