Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 62.8%
Forecasters
20
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJan 17, 24, 6:59 PM UTCMar 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 200K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 500K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolves as YES if at least 2 million humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2030.
- Different number of robots:
- @/RemNi/will-2k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-0686840a9b86
- @/RemNi/will-5k-humanoid-robots-be-manufact-cada66fe0215
- @/RemNi/will-10k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-c55c48255552
- @/RemNi/will-20k-humanoid-robots-be-manufac-027d2adb7b87
Open markets
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $83.9K
- 24h Vol
- $83.5K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston73%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $85.5K
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 9, 2026?
- 91° to 92°57.8%
- 89° to 90°25.5%
- 93° to 94°8.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $30.9K
- 24h Vol
- $30.8K
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 9, 2026?
- 83° or below48.1%
- 84° to 85°43.3%
- 86° to 87°5.8%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $29.9K
- 24h Vol
- $29.6K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 10?
- 28°C-2.5pt44.3%
- 29°C+7.5pt26.4%
- 27°C-3.5pt20.8%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in London on September 10?
- 21°C+8.0pt48.1%
- 20°C+12.0pt34%
- 22°C-13.0pt10.4%
+8 more outcomes
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 9, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Miami on September 10?
- Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Wellington on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 9, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will 2M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will 2M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030? resolve?
- Will 2M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030? is scheduled to resolve on March 1, 2030.
- How is Will 2M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as YES if at least 2 million humanoid robots have been manufactured before January 1st 2030.