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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Chess
  3. Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
Manifold Markets

Who will win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

ChessOne-Off6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
Gukesh D 36.4%
Forecasters

53

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated yesterday

Stale
Apr 14, 26, 6:19 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Gukesh D36%

Rules

The next World Chess Championship will feature the youngest participants ever.

Manifold Markets
  • Defending champion Gukesh will face off against Candidates winner Javokhir Sindarov.
  • Sindarov won the qualification very convincingly and is currently #5 in live ratings.
  • Gukesh has been struggling recently and has dropped 55 points over the past year (currently #15).
  • However, these things change quickly, and experience in these matches is paramount.
  • First-time challengers often struggle with nerves at the beginning of the match, which could give Gukesh an advantage.

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2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

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Will Gukesh win the 2026 World Chess Championship?

$435.9
Yes: 35.5%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Which country will win the 2026 Chess Olympiad (Women's event)?

$410
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FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,864.61+2.84%EthereumETH$1,658.51+2.51%SolanaSOL$65.12+2.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+2.00%XRPXRP$1.12+1.28%BNBBNB$599.76+2.80%

Rules

The next World Chess Championship will feature the youngest participants ever.

Manifold Markets
  • Defending champion Gukesh will face off against Candidates winner Javokhir Sindarov.
  • Sindarov won the qualification very convincingly and is currently #5 in live ratings.
  • Gukesh has been struggling recently and has dropped 55 points over the past year (currently #15).
  • However, these things change quickly, and experience in these matches is paramount.
  • First-time challengers often struggle with nerves at the beginning of the match, which could give Gukesh an advantage.