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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Chess
  3. 2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

2026 World Chess Championship: Winner

1.0% (24h)ChessOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Javokhir Sindarov
Javokhir Sindarov 66%+1.0%
Leader of 13 outcomes
Market quality

80 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$2.7K

Liquidity

$60.9K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

65.0% / 67.0%

Spread

3.1%

Moderate spread
7d Change

+1.5%

Market data

Updated 10 minutes ago

May 12, 26, 6:21 PMJan 1, 27, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Player A
Player A
0%
Player B
Player B
0%
Player D
Player D
0%
Player F
Player F
0%

Selected outcome

Javokhir Sindarov66%

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Winner

2y
Javokhir Sindarov
Javokhir Sindarov
65%
Hikaru Nakamura
Hikaru Nakamura
-1.0%2%
Anish Giri
Anish Giri
1%

+6 more outcomes

60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$11.5K
24h Vol$138.8
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship.

Polymarket
  • If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 World Chess Championship.

Polymarket
  • If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 World Chess Championship per the rules of FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the 2026 World Chess Championship tournament is cancelled, postponed, or partially completed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
  • The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.