Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJavokhir Sindarov 33%Leader of 13 outcomes
Forecasters
38
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 2, 23, 5:51 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be a world chess champion before 2050?
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Kalshi2026 World Chess Championship: Winner
PolymarketRules
A few points of clarification:
- If there is any chess governing body that is widely recognized in the press as "FIDE" I will go with the champion recognized by that body.
- If there is no such body, I will go with the recognition of whatever body is widely recognized in the press as the most dominant chess body of the time.
- "most" and "widely recognized in the press" is to be supported by news articles and such, but is ultimately up to my judgement.
- If you want updates on how this is shaping up let me know and I will try to clarify.
- If there is no such individual at all, then I will resolve N/A.