Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastCustomer Service / Call Centers 59.2%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleMay 1, 26, 1:38 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?
Manifold MarketsAI: >1% of US Stock Market (2030)
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market resolves to the sector listed in the options that exhibits the highest percentage of net job displacement in the United States by December 31, 2026.
- Displacement is defined as net job losses directly attributed to AI and automation tools.
- Resolution will be based on data published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), McKinsey & Company, or Goldman Sachs between January 1, 2026, and January 15, 2027.
- If multiple reports provide conflicting data, the market will resolve based on the consensus or the most comprehensive report among the aforementioned sources, as determined by the market creator.
- If no qualifying report is released by January 15, 2027, the market will resolve N/A. The impact of artificial intelligence on labor markets is a subject of significant ongoing research.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which sector will see the highest % of jobs displaced by AI in the US by end of Dec 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Customer Service / Call Centers at 59% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which sector will see the highest % of jobs displaced by AI in the US by end of Dec 31, 2026? resolve?
- Which sector will see the highest % of jobs displaced by AI in the US by end of Dec 31, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Which sector will see the highest % of jobs displaced by AI in the US by end of Dec 31, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to the sector listed in the options that exhibits the highest percentage of net job displacement in the United States by December 31, 2026.