Current community forecast
No sector shows “wide adoption” by 31 Dec 2032 51.3%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleJan 7, 26, 5:45 AM UTCJan 7, 27, 5:41 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves based on which sector first demonstrates wide, real-world adoption of quantum computing for production (non-experimental) workloads.
- Resolution Criteria:
- • The market resolves YES for the first sector that meets the criteria above.
- • If no sector clearly meets the criteria by 31 December 2032, resolve to: “No sector shows ‘wide adoption’ by 31 Dec 2032.”
- • If multiple sectors advance, the earliest clear adoption wins.
- Academic-only usage or single-company pilots do not qualify as wide adoption.
