Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI??

Manifold Markets prices xAI at 30.8% as of October 24, 2026.

When does Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI? resolve?

Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2050.

How is Which entity will be the first to officially announce the creation of AGI? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market resolves to the first entity that officially announces they have created artificial general intelligence (AGI).

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,-4.0pt77%
• December 15,-6.0pt74%
• November 30,-2.0pt65%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$5.4M

24h Vol

$106.6K

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt27.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T+2.3pt19.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.9pt16.7%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202792%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027-3.0pt88.5%

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+4.8pt91%
• Anthropic-2.5pt8%
• OpenAI1%

+18 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude-1.0pt49.5%
• Gemini38%
• ChatGPT-0.3pt8.4%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+0.5pt19%
• 2028+2.0pt17%
• 2027+2.0pt9%

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