Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
<2090 86.7%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 17, 24, 8:23 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will there be more software engineers in five years than there are today?
Manifold MarketsIn 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?
Manifold MarketsWhen will American software engineers start to face significant disemployment?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketRules
I will not trade on this question.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $844.6K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.3pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+7.5pt55.9%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.3%
- 90-114+1.9pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
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- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will Google, Amazon, Facebook each employ <2,000 human software engineers??
- Manifold Markets prices <2090 at 87% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will Google, Amazon, Facebook each employ <2,000 human software engineers? resolve?
- When will Google, Amazon, Facebook each employ <2,000 human software engineers? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.
- How is When will Google, Amazon, Facebook each employ <2,000 human software engineers? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I will not trade on this question.