PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
October 31 99%+5.7ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
≤74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$265.3K
Liquidity
$77K
High liquiditySpread
0.3 pt
Tight spreadComments
26
7d Change
+4.4 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Dec 12, 25, 6:29 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
First foldable iPhone costs more than $2000?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Apple release a foldable iPhone?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release an iPhone that uses a solid-state battery by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a new product line before 2027?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe.
- An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
- A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $74,750 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $559.9K
- 24h Vol
- $543.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+21.0pt59.4%
- 140-159+15.3pt24.8%
- 180-199-24.0pt13.9%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above98%
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.7M
- 24h Vol
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+5.0pt74.3%
- Before March 202716.8%
- Before 20273.5%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.8M
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-1.0pt88%
- OpenAI+0.7pt9%
- Google+0.8pt3%
+18 more outcomes
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 10, 2026?
- Boston+51.0pt99%
- New York City+73.0pt99%
- Newark+62.0pt99%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $122.6K
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- BTC 15 min · $77,848.79 target
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date??
- Polymarket prices October 31 at 99% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date? resolve?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Where else is Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless, Manifold Markets.