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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Tech
  3. Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

2.0% (24h)TechOne-Off6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 91%+0.0%
Market quality

79 / 100

High quality
24h Volume

$1K

Liquidity

$21.2K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

90.0% / 92.0%

Spread

2.2%

Tight spread
7d Change

+8.0%

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Dec 12, 25, 6:36 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes91%

Manifold MarketsAlso available on Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

Apple to release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

6mo
Manifold Markets
Yes
90.9%
Manifold Markets
No
9.1%
Community forecast139 forecastersType: binary
Total Vol$27.9K
24h Vol$79.2
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe.
  • An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
  • A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe.
  • An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
  • A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple.