Current community forecast
Before 2034 50%Leader of 10 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 15, 25, 12:57 AM UTCDec 31, 37, 1:29 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the next first-time men's singles Grand Slam winner in tennis?
Manifold MarketsTennis players to win one or more Grand Slam tournaments (singles) in 2026?
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KalshiWho will win a ATP Grand Slam in 2026?
KalshiCarlos Alcaraz: Grand Slam wins in 2026
KalshiRules
Grand Slams refer to these four tournaments: Wimbledon, the Australian Open, the US Open, and the French Open (Roland-Garros).
- East Asia here will refer to players representing China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Macau, Mongolia, North Korea or Taiwan.
Open markets
China
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $41.1M
- 24h Vol
- $110.1K
POLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Total Vol
- $13.1M
- 24h Vol
- $41.2K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- 26°C-0.5pt50%
- 27°C+8.5pt27.4%
- 25°C-7.0pt15.7%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No-0.5pt72.3%
- Yes+0.5pt27.7%
- Total Vol
- $414.1K
- 24h Vol
- $15.5K
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- No+1.0pt89.1%
- Yes-1.0pt10.9%
- Total Vol
- $3.1M
- 24h Vol
- $13.8K
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Alibaba+4.5pt71.3%
- Moonshot-3.2pt26.7%
- Z.ai-0.8pt1%
+8 more outcomes
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
- How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?
- Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
- Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will a tennis player representing East Asia win a men's singles Grand Slam tournament??
- Manifold Markets prices Before 2034 at 50% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will a tennis player representing East Asia win a men's singles Grand Slam tournament? resolve?
- When will a tennis player representing East Asia win a men's singles Grand Slam tournament? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2037.
- How is When will a tennis player representing East Asia win a men's singles Grand Slam tournament? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Grand Slams refer to these four tournaments: Wimbledon, the Australian Open, the US Open, and the French Open (Roland-Garros).