Current community forecast
Before 2050 85.4%Leader of 12 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Mar 6, 25, 8:31 AM UTCJan 1, 44, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a human will set foot on Mars by the end of 2047?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the first human to set foot on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill a human set foot on the moon whilst at least one human to have previously done so is still living?
Manifold MarketsWill a human set foot on the dwarf planet Ceres before 2060?
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRules
The market will resolve when a spacecraft with living human crew first lands on Mars.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
