What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]
EquitiesRegulationOne-OffAI9mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastGenerating labeled diagrams of some arbitrary device(s) (within reason) 100%Leader of 36 outcomes
Forecasters
314
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+22.3 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleJul 20, 25, 4:26 AM UTCJul 20, 27, 4:15 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
OPTIONS RESOLVE YES IF THEY HAPPEN
- 1 option per person, but if you can credit the prediction about this question to a public person you can add it.
- Interpret the question the way you find most reasonable.
- You can explain your choice in the comments!
- IMPORTANT: the prediction must be realistically verifiable by me (can involve some searching or simple experiment), @Bayesian, in the event that you are not reachable at time of market close.
- I will N/A options where this is not the case.
