What are the current odds for VVD + CDA + D66 coalition forms in Netherlands??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 93.2% as of October 26, 2026.

When does VVD + CDA + D66 coalition forms in Netherlands? resolve?

VVD + CDA + D66 coalition forms in Netherlands? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.

One-OffEurope2mo

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

Yes 93.2%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 15 hours ago

Stale

Jan 6, 26, 12:52 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Part of Matt Yglesias' "Predictions for 2026" from his Slow Boring newsletter.

Source: [Predictions for 2026](https://www.slowboring.com/i/181456375/predictions-for) Yglesias assigned 80% probability to this prediction.
Original prediction: "VVD + CDA + D66 coalition in the Netherlands" Resolution: Will resolve based on Yglesias' own assessment in his January 2027 review post.
If he doesn't publish one, market creator will resolve based on the outcome.