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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Regulation
  3. Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets
Manifold Markets

Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets

RegulationOne-OffAITech6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsNo KYC
Current community forecast
Manifold Markets
At least 100 Cybercabs produced in 2026 99%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters

9

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 2 days ago

Stale
Apr 24, 26, 11:55 AMDec 31, 26, 4:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance
Manifold Markets
Roadster unveiled before May 24th 2026
0%

Selected outcome

At least 100 Cybercabs produced in 202699%

Rules

Will Tesla/Elmo fulfill their projections/promises?

Manifold Markets
  • I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria based on feedback from comments up to Apr 27th.
  • All production questions only include items produced to be sold on the market, not prototypes or similar.
  • Robotaxis count only if running:
  • without a human driver
  • continuously without any definite end date or larger breaks in operation (no one-off stunts)

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SpaceX highest valuation by end of June 2027

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≥$1.75T: 97%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?

$0
Yes: 94%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

$399.9K
Anthropic: 87%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

$52.2K
Anthropic: 89%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,935.15+2.39%EthereumETH$1,660.60+1.78%SolanaSOL$65.44+2.65%DogecoinDOGE$0.0854+2.17%BNBBNB$602.38+2.88%XRPXRP$1.12+1.17%

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Rules

Will Tesla/Elmo fulfill their projections/promises?

Manifold Markets
  • I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria based on feedback from comments up to Apr 27th.
  • All production questions only include items produced to be sold on the market, not prototypes or similar.
  • Robotaxis count only if running:
  • without a human driver
  • continuously without any definite end date or larger breaks in operation (no one-off stunts)