Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastAt least 100 Cybercabs produced in 2026 100%Leader of 5 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+5.9 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleApr 24, 26, 11:55 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Will Tesla/Elmo fulfill their projections/promises?
- I reserve the right to modify resolution criteria based on feedback from comments up to Apr 27th.
- All production questions only include items produced to be sold on the market, not prototypes or similar.
- For the option "the named outcome", robotaxis count only if running:
- without a human driver
- continuously without any definite end date or larger breaks in operation (no one-off stunts)
