Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 67.4%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 19 hours ago
StaleJun 18, 24, 7:52 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves as YES if, before 2030, Amazon prevents people from reading or downloading eBooks that they previously purchased from Amazon because the content violates Amazon's content policies.
- For example, if Amazon blocks you from reading or downloading your eBook copy of Huckleberry Finn because the n-word violates new content guidelines, then this resolves as YES.
- If your Kindle copy of the Satanic Verses has paragraphs or pages censored or omitted because Amazon considers them Islamophobic, then this resolves as YES.
- If Amazon is enforcing a country's censorship laws, that does not count.
- For example, if you go to China, tune into Wifi, and find that your copy of Xi Jinpeng's unauthorized biography is blocked by Amazon, then this claim does not resolves as YES.
- In that case, Amazon is likely censoring the eBook to comply with China's wishes, not because Amazon thinks the content is objectionable.
