Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastSep 12 100%Leader of 37 outcomes
Forecasters
17
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+12.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 10:13 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:11 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Useful source for resolution: https://codex-resets.com/
- Time-zone used is UTC.
- (Banked and Regular resets both count)
- Remember, it's easy to bet on lots of options at the same time if you want to—just use the API via your favored coding agent.
Open markets
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.7pt68.6%
- ChatGPT+2.9pt15.2%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.7M
- 24h Vol
- $144.2K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+10.0pt75%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+36.2pt72.6%
- September 22-17.6pt10.5%
- No release by September 30-8.4pt4.2%
+13 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $184.4K
- 24h Vol
- $29K
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 more outcomes
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for On which dates will OpenAI Reset Limits??
- Manifold Markets prices Sep 12 at 100% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does On which dates will OpenAI Reset Limits? resolve?
- On which dates will OpenAI Reset Limits? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is On which dates will OpenAI Reset Limits? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Useful source for resolution: https://codex-resets.com/