Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastJetBlue 25.7%Leader of 28 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+3.6 pts
Market data
Updated 18 hours ago
StaleNov 20, 25, 7:54 PM UTCDec 20, 29, 7:47 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Next airline to default from this fixed list only.
- All non-listed airlines are irrelevant.
- No airlines will be added to this list.
- When an airline defaults, we will settle and start a new market.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the first airline from the provided list to file for bankruptcy or enter formal insolvency proceedings.