Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 10, 2026, 3:12 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 56.4%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 days ago
StaleFeb 4, 26, 9:51 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes56%
Volume trend
$16Jul 92d of dataJul 10
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