[M$5k subsidy] Will any FDA-approved GLP-1 agonists be withdrawn from the market for safety reasons by...

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for [M$5k subsidy] Will any FDA-approved GLP-1 agonists be withdrawn from the market for safety reasons by...?

Manifold Markets prices 2030 at 36.4% as of October 11, 2026.

When does [M$5k subsidy] Will any FDA-approved GLP-1 agonists be withdrawn from the market for safety reasons by... resolve?

[M$5k subsidy] Will any FDA-approved GLP-1 agonists be withdrawn from the market for safety reasons by... is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.

How is [M$5k subsidy] Will any FDA-approved GLP-1 agonists be withdrawn from the market for safety reasons by... settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Inspired by https://manifold.markets/AaronKaufman/will-any-fdaapproved-glp1-agonists and will use the same criteria:

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Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Pandemic in 2026?

• NoStored bid–ask92%–93%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 10:22 PM UTC
• Yes+2.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask7%–8%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 10:22 PM UTC

Total Vol

$934.8K

24h Vol

$22K

POLYMARKET

Plague pandemic in 2026?

• No+0.5pt98%
• Yes-0.5pt2%

Total Vol

$387.8K

24h Vol

$17.2K

KALSHI

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

• Before January 1, 2027-2.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask9%–13%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 10:22 PM UTC
• Before December 1, 2026Stored bid–ask6%–10%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 10:22 PM UTC
• Before November 1, 2026

POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No95%
• Yes5%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$5.8K

KALSHI

Next pandemic

• Before 2030+2.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask20%–22%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 10:21 PM UTC
• Before 2029+3.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask17%–19%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 10:21 PM UTC
• Before 2028

POLYMARKET

Anthropic lab leak by which date?

• June 30, 202710%
• December 31, 2026-0.5pt2%

Total Vol

$151.3K

24h Vol

$3.7K

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