In 2050, will the World Health Organization state that vaping is safer than cigarettes?
Health & MedicineOne-OffManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastThe WHO will say e-cigarettes are safer. 70.4%Leader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleOct 27, 25, 1:09 AM UTCJan 1, 50, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Today, the World Health Organization has a tobacco FAQ evading the question of whether vaping is more or less safe than smoking tobacco:
- Are e-cigarettes more or less dangerous than conventional tobacco cigarettes?
- Both tobacco products and ENDS pose risks to health.
- The safest approach is not to use either.
- The levels of risk associated with using ENDS or tobacco products are likely to depend on a range of factors, some relating to the products used and some to the individual user.
- Factors include product type and characteristics, how the products are used, including frequency of use, how the products are manufactured, who is using the product, user behaviour – user’s puffing style – and whether product characteristics are manipulated post-sale.
