In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet??

Manifold Markets prices No at 57% as of October 31, 2026.

When does In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet? resolve?

In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2028.

How is In 2028, will an AI be able to write poetry indistinguishable from that of a great Romantic poet? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves as positive if an AI asked to write poetry in the style of Keats/Byron/Shelley etc can, on its first attempt, write a poem of at least two stanzas which I personally can't distinguish from the real thing.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-2.4pt52.6%
• Claude+1.6pt36.4%
• ChatGPT-0.2pt7.2%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$16.2M

24h Vol

$139.3K

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T-1.6pt94%
• ↑$1.75T+5.0pt85%
• ↑$2.0T+1.0pt71%

+11 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt31.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T-1.9pt18.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.6pt17.6%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+1.6pt100%
• Alibaba0%
• Amazon0%

+18 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

• 1.5T+-5.8pt34%
• No IPO by December 31, 2027+0.1pt23%
• 1.25T–1.5T-0.5pt12%

+4 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-0.9pt93%
• November 30-7.0pt82%
• November 19-5.0pt71%

+27 more outcomes

• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Anthropic IPO Date
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Gemini Carbon released on?
• Google market share this week
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?