By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 75% as of October 31, 2026.

When does By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal? resolve?

By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is By the end of 2028 will AI be able to write an original article and get it accepted in a prestigious Philosophy journal? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Acceptable journals (taken from a list by Brian Leiter based on a survey):

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX+0.5pt55.1%
• Anthropic-0.2pt44.9%
• ByteDance0%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$7M

24h Vol

$231.5K

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google-1.0pt55.5%
• Anthropic+3.0pt36.6%
• OpenAI5.9%

+12 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-0.5pt30.1%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.8pt21.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T-3.6pt15.5%

+7 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+0.3pt52.7%
• Claude+2.5pt38.3%
• ChatGPT+0.1pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,88%
• December 15,+2.0pt84%
• November 30,+5.0pt80%

+15 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Date

• November 2026.2%
• No IPO by November 30, 2026+3.0pt21.5%
• November 18-1.5pt15.9%

+9 more outcomes

• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released on?
• Best AI this week
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• Google market share this week
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 26–Nov 1