This market resolved: Yes (72.4%)
Resolved: Aug 13, 2026, 12:35 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 72.4%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 7 days ago
StaleMay 26, 25, 6:39 PMAug 13, 26, 12:35 PM
Trends
72.4%
27.6%
Rules
If it is obscured by cloud cover I will resolve no.
- Update 2026-01-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will be traveling to Spain to observe the eclipse.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for I observe the total eclipse on August 12, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 72% as of August 14, 2026.
- When does I observe the total eclipse on August 12, 2026? resolve?
- I observe the total eclipse on August 12, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on August 13, 2026.
- How is I observe the total eclipse on August 12, 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: If it is obscured by cloud cover I will resolve no.
