Current implied probability
Google 71%+15.0ptLeader of 32 outcomes
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$8.7K
Liquidity
$25.2K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
+33.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Jul 25, 26, 12:07 AMSep 30, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
- AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time.
- If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above+39.0pt99%
- $70,000 or above+19.0pt99%
- $70,500 or above+28.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 240-259+33.6pt70.3%
- 260-279+4.5pt28.7%
- 280-299-12.7pt1%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.9pt11.4%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.5%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.3pt10.5%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+7.2pt19%
- 300-319+2.6pt17%
- 260-279+5.0pt14%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,130 or above+5.0pt99%
- $1,970 or above99%
- $2,090 or above+4.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $543.8K
POLYMARKETWhich company has best AI model end of August?
- Anthropic-0.2pt98%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
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- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Second-best AI Lab end of September??
- Polymarket prices Google at 71% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Second-best AI Lab end of September? resolve?
- Second-best AI Lab end of September? is scheduled to resolve on September 30, 2026.
- How is Second-best AI Lab end of September? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.