KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 13 98%+3.0ptLeader of 8 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$6.8K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 22 minutes ago
Aug 18, 26, 2:00 AMSep 1, 26, 2:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have the named outcome launches in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the source agency records the date of liftoff in a different time zone, the Exchange will convert to Eastern Time for purposes of allocating the launch to the time period.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- Important Information: SpaceX Starlink Group 17-52 mission is recorded by FAA under UTC time and does not qualify for the month of August.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $71,000 or above+39.0pt99%
- $70,000 or above+19.0pt99%
- $70,500 or above+28.0pt99%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
- 240-259+33.6pt70.3%
- 260-279+4.5pt28.7%
- 280-299-12.7pt1%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBitcoin price at the end of 2026
- 70,000 to 74,999.99-1.9pt11.4%
- 75,000 to 79,999.99-0.7pt10.5%
- 80,000 to 84,999.99+4.3pt10.5%
+25 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026?
- 280-299+7.2pt19%
- 300-319+2.6pt17%
- 260-279+5.0pt14%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIETH price on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $2,130 or above+5.0pt99%
- $1,970 or above99%
- $2,090 or above+4.0pt99%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $543.8K
POLYMARKETWhich company has best AI model end of August?
- Anthropic-0.2pt98%
- Company A50%
- Company B50%
+29 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Aug 21, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Aug 21, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- BTC price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Nasdaq-100 price on Aug 21, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- ETH price range on Aug 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Aug 21, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Total space launches in August?
- Kalshi prices Above 13 at 98% as of August 21, 2026.
- When does Total space launches in August resolve?
- Total space launches in August is scheduled to resolve on September 1, 2026.
- How is Total space launches in August settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have the named outcome launches in August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.