From which country will originate the AI that first passes Manifold AI's high quality Turing Test?
AI4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecast
United States 67%Leader of 5 outcomes
United States 67%Forecasters
9
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleAug 28, 24, 6:58 AM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
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PolymarketRules
Resolves as the country of origin of the AI that first passes this Turing test:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldAI/agi-when-resolves-to-the-year-in-wh-d5c5ad8e4708)If the creators are a collaboration between multiple research groups in multiple countries, this will resolve proportionally with counties of origin of each group (e.g. 2 US groups and 1 French group resolves 2:1 US:France).
- If groups are sorted by contribution, and there is some first-author equivalent tier of contribution, resolves only to that subset.