Conditional on Twitter/X still existing, will Elon Musk be in control of it at EOY 2026?
One-OffBusiness & CorporateTech2moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 97.8%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMar 8, 24, 8:14 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
"Twitter/X still exists" means it is possible for people to make posts on and reference previous posts made on Twitter/X, no matter what it is named or who it is owned by at that point.
- If this is not the case, this market will resolve N/A. "Elon Musk is in control of Twitter/X" means that it is still possible for Musk to make arbitrary changes (eg starting Twitter Blue, changing the site's name, adding view/bookmark counts, etc) to the website with almost no obstacles.
- If Musk retains some power over Twitter/X, but others veto some of his decisions in practice, that counts as a NO resolution.
- Situations that would result in this market resolving YES:
- Musk is the outright CEO of Twitter/X
