KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $10.3 billion 90%Leader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
43 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$7.4K
Medium liquiditySpread
6.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Aug 11, 26, 3:32 AM UTCMar 4, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Instacart gross transaction value in fiscal 2026
KalshiServiceTitan gross transaction volume in Q2
KalshiServiceTitan gross transaction volume in fiscal 2027
KalshiWhat value will Total Crypto Market Cap hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill any 4 of AAPL, AMZN, ASML, GOOG, META, MSFT, NVDA, and TSM lose 60% of their peak value before 2028?
Manifold MarketsLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketRules
If Instacart reports Above 10300000000 gross transaction value in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Fiscal.ai
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Instacart reports Above 10350000000 gross transaction value in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Instacart reports Above 10400000000 gross transaction value in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Instacart reports Above 10450000000 gross transaction value in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M96%
- $25M95%
- $50M85%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $190.5K
- 24h Vol
- $190.5K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.5pt96%
- Apple-0.1pt3%
- Alphabet+0.2pt1%
+6 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+8.0pt56.4%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.7%
- 90-114+2.1pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-19918.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt17.8%
- 160-17913.9%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $211.6K
- 24h Vol
- $45.2K
KALSHICalifornia FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026
- Above 680,000+4.0pt98%
- Above 690,00094%
- Above 710,000-1.0pt28%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $70.2K
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Taco Bell same-store sales growth in Q3
- Ford total vehicles US sales in Q3
- Ford US vehicle sales volume in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Chewy active customers in Q2
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Instacart gross transaction value in Q3?
- Kalshi prices Above $10.3 billion at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Instacart gross transaction value in Q3 resolve?
- Instacart gross transaction value in Q3 is scheduled to resolve on March 4, 2027.
- How is Instacart gross transaction value in Q3 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Instacart reports Above 10300000000 gross transaction value in Q3 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.