Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.4%
Forecasters
19
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 22, 26, 8:30 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Resolves yes if before 2027 an LLM can play video games that require real-time reactions with some competence.
- To avoid subjectivity, I will impose the following standards:
- The LLM must first navigate to playsnake.org and select worm
- The LLM must be able to achieve a median score of at least 50 across 5 consecutive runs.
- The LLM can try as many times as it likes as long as it hits this benchmark eventually
- I'm not paying more than $20 per month for an AI subscription, so models requiring this will not be tested unless somebody does it for me.
