At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena??

Manifold Markets prices Yes at 89.7% as of October 30, 2026.

When does At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? resolve?

At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if there is a model released by a European company, listed on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent, that ranks higher than at least one model that is currently listed on the leaderboard.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+0.7pt56%
• Claude-0.3pt36%
• ChatGPT-0.6pt6.3%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$16.2M

24h Vol

$141.8K

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T-6.8pt89%
• ↑$1.75T-4.5pt81%
• ↑$2.0T-8.0pt65%

+11 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.1pt98%
• Anthropic+0.1pt1%
• OpenAI+0.1pt1%

+18 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T30%
• $1.5–$1.75T+5.5pt23%
• $2.0–$2.25T-2.3pt19%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-0.9pt93%
• November 30-9.0pt81%
• November 19-4.5pt72%

+27 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

• 1.5T+-3.8pt37%
• No IPO by December 31, 2027-6.9pt21%
• 1.25T–1.5T12%

+4 more outcomes

• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Anthropic IPO Date
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Google market share this week
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
• In which month will Anthropic IPO?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap