Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 83.4%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleApr 12, 26, 1:24 AM UTCJan 21, 31, 2:17 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Artemis lands on moon with boots on lunar surface before Chinese human boots on the lunar surface, AND Chinese do not land on lunar surface with human boots within 2 years OR immediately totally shift focus to another solar body for astronaut landings.
- Resolves NO if Chinese put human boots on the moon before Artemis OR within 2 years of Artemis human lunar landing Chinese replicate the feat.
- Market will be extended as necessary but resolves once clarity.
- Sources will be official communications of the relevant national space agencies or eminently reliable reporting.
