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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Space
  3. Human moon landing in 2026?
Human moon landing in 2026?

Human moon landing in 2026?

0.1% (24h)One-OffSpace6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 3%
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$438.4

Liquidity

$22.3K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

3.1% / 3.4%

Spread

9.7%

Wide spread
7d Change

+0.1%

Market data

Updated 7 minutes ago

Jan 7, 26, 9:03 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes3%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,794.11+2.01%EthereumETH$1,656.59+1.27%SolanaSOL$65.11+1.63%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.29%XRPXRP$1.12+0.43%BNBBNB$599.54+2.23%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications.
  • The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.