Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNot charged 50%Leader of 3 outcomes
Forecasters
5
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+16.7 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 9, 26, 2:45 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to the single option that accurately describes the legal and custodial status of Alice Huang (also known as Huang Le) in relation to U.S. federal criminal law enforcement as of 11:59 PM ET on January 1, 2028:
- the named outcome: Alice Huang has not been named in an unsealed U.S. federal indictment or criminal complaint alleging espionage, theft of trade secrets, export control violations, wire fraud, or related conspiracy by the resolution date.
- If charges were filed but fully dismissed or dropped before the cutoff, the market will also resolve to this option.
- the named outcome: Alice Huang has been charged under an unsealed U.S. federal indictment or complaint and is physically within U.S. custody (including detention in a U.S. federal or state facility, or released on bond/bail under conditions set by a U.S. federal court) on January 1, 2028.
- the named outcome: Alice Huang has been charged under an unsealed U.S. federal indictment or complaint, but is not in U.S. custody (e.g., remaining outside the United States, classified as a fugitive, or detained solely by a foreign government pending extradition) on January 1, 2028.