KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Yes · —
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Stored price
Yes 67%
Yes 67%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$4.1K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
YesSpread
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Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Jun 5, 25, 4:45 PM UTCJan 1, 50, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Yes
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will global temperatures exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill average global temperatures rise to 2.0 Celsius above pre-industrial baseline within 10 years?
Manifold MarketsAverage global surface air temperature anomaly in 2026 relative to the pre-industrial baseline?
FutuurWill the world pass 1.5 C average annual temperature by 2030?
Manifold MarketsIn which year will global warming reach 1.5 degrees Celsius?
Manifold MarketsWill the Average Global Temperature for any year be greater than 1.5 degrees Celsius above preindustrial levels by the end of 2045?
ForecastExRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:NASA Goddard
Institute for Space StudiesNCEIBerkeley EarthUK Met Office Hadley Centre (HadCRUT)
- At least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.
Rules for each outcome
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
