KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market is closed and awaiting confirmed resolution.
Awaiting verified resolution
CoinRithm is waiting for provider-confirmed settlement before treating this market as resolved.
Trends
4.9% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
4.88% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
4.76% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
4.92% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 43% ·
4.94% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 13% ·
4.98% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 3% ·
4.96% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 1% ·
4.78% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
4.8% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
4.82% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
4.84% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
4.86% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 99% ·
5% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 0% ·
5.02% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 0% ·
5.04% or aboveAwaiting result
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsMacro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 27, 2026, or one week following Oct 27, 2026.
Rules for each outcome
- 4.9% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.88% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.76% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.92% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.94% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.98% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.96% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.78% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.8% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.82% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.84% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.86% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.02% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5.04% or above
- If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on Oct 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.