KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
4.5% or above 79%Leader of 15 outcomes
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$10
Liquidity
$608.2
Low liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 7:30 PM UTCSep 11, 26, 7:30 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
Kalshi5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
Kalshi7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketRules
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.35% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 11, 2026, or one week following Sep 11, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.37% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.39% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.41% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.43% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Related Cryptos
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 4.5% or above at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? resolve?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 11, 2026.
- How is 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.35% on Sep 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.