KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Above 104T tokens (99%)
Resolved: Sep 7, 2026, 3:34 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
Above 114T tokens 99%+4.0ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.7K
Liquidity
$34.7K
High liquidityMarket data
Updated yesterday
StaleSep 1, 26, 12:30 AM UTCSep 7, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Above 104T tokens99%
Above 116T tokens1%
Above 112T tokens94%
Above 108T tokens95%
Above 106T tokens98%
Above 110T tokens99%
Above 118T tokens18%
Above 114T tokens99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
3%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the the total number of tokens included in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings for August 31 through September 6, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Model Rankings
- This event will resolve based on the value for the seven UTC calendar days from August 31 through September 6, 2026, as observed at 10:00 AM ET on Sep 7, 2026.
- For purposes of this market, “token usage” means the token usage included in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings and does not represent total AI token usage across all providers or platforms.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with OpenRouter.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $157.2K
- 24h Vol
- $119.4K
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+10.0pt60%
- 2027+2.0pt31.4%
- 2026+2.0pt8.6%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.7pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.6M
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-4.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $377.7K
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.5pt23%
+2 more outcomes
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6?
- Kalshi prices Above 114T tokens at 99% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6 resolve?
- OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6 is scheduled to resolve on September 7, 2026.
- How is OpenRouter AI token usage: Aug 31 - Sep 6 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the the total number of tokens included in OpenRouter's AI Model Rankings for August 31 through September 6, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.