Current implied probability
Before Aug 28, 2026 17%-22.0%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$2.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
11.0% / 41.0%
Spread
272.7%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jul 1, 26, 2:56 AMAug 28, 26, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Before Aug 28, 202617%
Volume trend
$2.1kJul 35d of dataJul 13
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If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Aug 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Aug 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Aug 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Aug 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Sep 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If SpaceX launches Dragon CRS-35 After issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.