KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
86° or above 81%+37.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
72 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$15.6K
Liquidity
$13.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 9, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRain in San Francisco in Sep 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in San Francisco on September 9?
PolymarketWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 84 F on September 8, 2026?
ForecastExWill the highest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) exceed 83 F on September 8, 2026?
ForecastExLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 9?
PolymarketRules
If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 8, 2026, is less than 78° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $844.6K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.3pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+7.5pt55.9%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.3%
- 90-114+1.9pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 86° or above at 81% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026? resolve?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
- How is Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 8, 2026, is less than 78° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Gemini, Polymarket.