KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
61° or above 85.6%+84.0ptLeader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$2.5K
Low liquiditySpread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Sep 7, 26, 2:00 PM UTCSep 9, 26, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 9?
PolymarketWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 59 F on September 8, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 60 F on September 8, 2026?
ForecastExWill the lowest temperature in San Francisco (SF)(SFO)(KSFO) be below 61 F on September 8, 2026?
ForecastExLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 10?
PolymarketRules
If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 8, 2026, is less than 53° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Weather Company
- Not all weather data is the same.
- While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
- Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
- Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first.
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $844.6K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.3pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+7.5pt55.9%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.3%
- 90-114+1.9pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026??
- Kalshi prices 61° or above at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026? resolve?
- Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026? is scheduled to resolve on September 9, 2026.
- How is Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the minimum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Sep 8, 2026, is less than 53° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Lowest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.