KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Exactly 3.64% (18%)
Resolved: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current implied probability
3.66% or Above 35%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$18.5K
Liquidity
$17K
Medium liquidityMarket data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 15, 26, 12:45 PM UTCSep 16, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Probability Timeline
Exactly 3.62%1%
3.66% or Above35%
Exactly 3.63%18%
3.60% or Below3%
Exactly 3.65%23%
Exactly 3.61%2%
Exactly 3.64%8%
35%
23%
18%
3%
1%
1%
1%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 15, 2026 is at most 3.60%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for September 15, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”.
- Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 15, 2026 is exactly 3.61%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 15, 2026 is exactly 3.62%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 15, 2026 is exactly 3.63%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Bonds & Treasuries
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $449.2K
- 24h Vol
- $28.6K
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.55% or above99%
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.53% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $8.6K
- 24h Vol
- $8.6K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+45.5pt100%
- 4.85%+18.1pt100%
- 4.88%+58.0pt100%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.91% or above99%
- 4.81% or above99%
- 4.83% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.4K
- 24h Vol
- $4.4K
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 4.74% or above99%
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $3.8K
- 24h Vol
- $3.8K
POLYMARKETHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 5.40%93%
- 5.45%-4.5pt76%
- 5.70%+33.0pt56%
+6 more outcomes
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 16, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for SOFR for September 15, 2026?
- Kalshi prices 3.66% or Above at 35% as of September 16, 2026.
- When does SOFR for September 15, 2026 resolve?
- SOFR for September 15, 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 16, 2026.
- How is SOFR for September 15, 2026 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for September 15, 2026 is at most 3.60%, then the market resolves to Yes.