KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Exactly 3.87% · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Exactly 3.87% Stored bid–ask60%–93%Collected: Last trade: 57% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 52.8%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Leader of 7 outcomes
Exactly 3.87% Stored bid–ask60%–93%Collected: Last trade: 57% · Trade time unknownNormalized research estimate: 52.8%Prices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$5.8K
Open interest
$5.5K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Exactly 3.87%Spread
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Market data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Oct 9, 26, 1:40 PM UTCOct 13, 26, 11:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Exactly 3.87%
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
SOFR at end of Q4 2026
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PolymarketRules
If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 9, 2026 is exactly 3.87%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Federal Reserve Bank of New York
- The Underlying is the initially reported SOFR for October 9, 2026 in the table named “Secured Overnight Financing Rate Data” in the column labeled “Rate (%)”. Later revisions will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
Rules for each outcome
- Exactly 3.87%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 9, 2026 is exactly 3.87%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.86%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 9, 2026 is exactly 3.86%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.85% or Below
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 9, 2026 is at most 3.85%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.88%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 9, 2026 is exactly 3.88%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 3.91% or Above
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 9, 2026 is at least 3.91%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.89%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 9, 2026 is exactly 3.89%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Exactly 3.90%
- If the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) for October 9, 2026 is exactly 3.90%, then the market resolves to Yes.